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Ranking the 13 most unlikely draft lottery winners in NBA history

One of the most exciting moments for a basketball franchise is if they learn they have won the NBA draft lottery, especially when it’s unexpected.

Lottery odds formatting have changed several times since the system began in 1985 when the New York Knicks selected Patrick Ewing. In the future, the format might change again to help prevent tanking from league bottom-dwellers.

The upcoming 2026 NBA Draft Lottery is on May 10 in Chicago and will determine which teams will have a chance to draft top prospects like AJ Dybantsa, Cameron Boozer, Darryn Peterson and Caleb Wilson.

14 teams will have a chance at No. 1 overall and with that in mind, here are all of the lottery winners who received the pick despite less than 10 percent odds.

1. Orlando Magic (1993)

Player: Chris Webber

Record: 41-41

Odds: 1.52% (11th)

This pick was included in a trade to the Golden State Warriors involving Penny Hardaway and future first-round picks.

2. Chicago Bulls (2008)

Player: Derrick Rose

Record: 33-49

Odds: 1.70% (9th)

Rose, who is originally from Chicago, was named 2009 NBA Rookie of the Year and won NBA MVP in 2011.

3. Cleveland Cavaliers (2014)

Player: Andrew Wiggins

Record: 33-49

Odds: 1.70% 9th

Before his rookie season, he was traded to the Minnesota Timberwolves for a deal involving Kevin Love. He was named 2015 NBA Rookie of the Year.

4. Dallas Mavericks (2025)

Player: Cooper Flagg

Record: 39-43

Odds: 1.80% (11th)

This was shortly after Luka Dončić was sent to the Los Angeles Lakers for a trade involving Anthony Davis. Flagg was recently named 2026 NBA Rookie of the Year.

5. Los Angeles Clippers (2011)

Player: Kyrie Irving

Record: 32-50

Odds: 2.80% (8th)

Before the draft, the Clippers traded the rights to this pick to the Cleveland Cavaliers. Irving was named 2012 NBA Rookie of the Year and won a championship with the Cavaliers in 2016.

6. Atlanta Hawks (2024)

Player: Zaccharie Risacher

Record: 36-46

Odds: 3.00% (10th)

Risacher was named first-team NBA All-Rookie and is a contributor for the Hawks in the 2026 NBA postseason.

7. New Jersey Nets (2000)

Player: Kenyon Martin

Record: 31-52

Odds: 4.40% (7th)

Martin played four seasons for the Nets, earning an NBA All-Star nod in 2004.

8. Portland Trail Blazers (2007)

Player: Greg Oden

Record: 32-50

Odds: 5.30% (7th)

The big man was selected one pick before Kevin Durant and he played just three seasons in the NBA.

9. New Orleans Pelicans (2019)

Player: Zion Williamson

Record: 33-49

Odds: 6.00% (7th)

This pick was shortly after the Pelicans traded Anthony Davis to the Los Angeles Lakers. Williamson is a two-time NBA All-Star who has not yet made the playoffs.

10. Milwaukee Bucks (2005)

Player: Andrew Bogut

Record: 30-52

Odds: 6.30% (6th)

The Australian big man was named first-team NBA All-Rookie and played for the Bucks for seven seasons.

11. Toronto Raptors (2006)

Player: Andrea Bargnani

Record: 27-55

Odds: 8.80% (5th)

The Italian forward was named first-team NBA All-Rookie and played for the Raptors for seven seasons.

12. Houston Rockets (2002)

Player: Yao Ming

Record: 28-54

Odds: 8.90% (5th)

The Chinese big man played eight seasons for the Rockets and made the NBA All-Star team each campaign.

13. Golden State Warriors (1995)

Player: Joe Smith

Record: 26-56

Odds: 9.40% (5th)

Smith made first-team NBA All-Rookie and was traded to the Philadelphia 76ers midway through his third season with the Warriors.

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